MUCM
 

MUCM

 

 

RELATED PAPERS

Below is a list of our other papers and reports.

TITLE STATUS AUTHORS

Williams, B., Higdon, D., Gattiker, J., Moore, L., McKay , M. and Keller-McNulty, S. (2006) Combining Experimental Data and Computer Simulations, With an Application to Flyer Plate Experiments. Journal of Bayesian Analysis 1, Number 4, Sep 28, pp 765--792, DOI:10.1214/06-BA125 

Published

JiG

Kennedy, M. C., O'Hagan, A., Anderson, C. W., Lomas, M., Woodward, F. I., Heinemeyer, A. and Gosling, J. P. (2006). Quantifying uncertainty in the biospheric carbon flux for England and Wales. Research Report No. 564/06, Department of Probability and Statistics, University of Sheffield. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A 171, 109--135

Published

AOH JPG

Killeya, M. and Goldstein, M., (2007) Exploiting compartmental structure through derivatives in Bayesian emulation of computer simulators with application to the plankton cycle. Under revision for Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference

?

MG

Higdon, D., Gattiker, J., Williams, B. and Rightly, M., Computer Model Calibration Using High Dimensional Output (2007).  Journal of the American Statistical Association, March 1, 2009, 104(485): 76-87. doi:10.1198/jasa.2009.0005

Published

JiG

Goldstein, M. and Rougier, J.C., (2007) Reified Bayesian modelling and inference for physical systems. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, to appear with discussion.

Published

MG JR

Conti, S. and O'Hagan, A. (2007). Bayesian emulation of complex multi-output and dynamic computer models. Research Report No. 569/07, Department of Probability and Statistics, University of Sheffield. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 140, 640--651

Published

AOH

Bates, R.A., Kenett, R.S., Steinberg, D.M. and Wynn, H.P. (2006). Achieving robust design from computer simulations. Quality Technology & Quantitative Management 3, no. 2, 161--177.

Published

HW

Hayter, A. J., Wynn, H. P. and Liu, W., (2006). Slope modified confidence bands for a simple linear regression model. Stat. Methodol. 3, no. 2, 186--192.

Published

HW

Pronzato, L., Wynn, H.P. and Zhigljavsky, A.A. (2006). Asymptotic behaviour of a family of gradient algorithms in Rd and Hilbert spaces. Math. Program. 107, no. 3, Ser. A, 409--438

Published

HW

Pistone, G. and Wynn, H.P., (2006). Cumulant varieties. Journal of Symbolic Comput. 41, no. 2, 210--221

Published

HW

Goldstein, M. and Rougier, J.C. (2006). Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101 (no. 475), 1132-1143

Published

MG JR

Perry, M.A., Atherton, M.A., Bates, M. A., Shen, Y. and Wynn, H. P. Bond Graph Based Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis Modelling for Micro-Scale Multiphysics Robust Engineering Design. J. Franklin Inst. 345 (2008), 282-292.

Published

HW

M A Perry, R A Bates and H P Wynn (2006). A Finite Element Based Formulation for Sensitivity Studies of Piezoelectric Systems. Journal of Smart Materials and Structures. 17 (2008), (7pp).

Published

HW

Y Shen, M A Atherton, M A Perry, R A Bates and H P Wynn (2006). Simulation of the Electromechanical Coupling in Multilayered Piezoelectric Distributed Mode Actuator. Journal of Sensors and Actuators (submitted).

Submitted Paper

HW

M Perry, R A Bates, M A Atherton, Y Shen and H P Wynn. (2006). Finite Element Sensitivity Studies of Robustness in Micro-Scale Piezoelectric Technologies. In Proceedings of IEE seminar on MEMS Sensors and Actuators, London, UK, 2006.

Published

HW

R A Bates, H P Wynn & E S Fraga (2006), An application of lattice-based kernel methods for identifying feasible regions in design space, in I C Parmee (Editor), ``Adaptive Computing in Design and Manufacture - Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference'', The Institute for People-centred Computation (IP-CC), 149-155.

Published

HW

A. Giovagnoli, J. Marzialetti, H P Wynn (2006) “An Approach to Inter-rate agreement through Stochastic Orderings: the Discrete Case” Proceedings of XLIII Scientific Meeting of the Italian Statistical Society Torino, 14-16 June 2006, 519-522.

Published

HW

H P Wynn (2007). Algebraic solutions to the connectivity problem for m-way layouts. J Statist Plan, Inference 138 (2008), 259-271.

Published

HW

Haycroft, R., Pronzato, L., Wynn, H. P. and Zhigljavsky, A. A. Studying convergence of gradient algorithms via optimal experimental design. In : Optimal Design and Related Areas in Statistics. Springer: Optimization and related areas: 28 (2009), 13-37.

Published

HW

Haycroft, R., Pronzato, L., Wynn, H. OP. and Zhigljavsky, A. A.. Optimal experimental design and quadratic optimization. Tatra Mt. Mtha. Publ. 39, (2008),  115-123.

Published

HW

Liu, W., Wynn H. P., Hayter, A. J. Statistical inferences for linear regression models when the covariates have functional relationships: polynomial regression. J. Stat. Comp. Sim. (2008), 78, 315-324.

Published

HW

Giovagnoli, A and Wynn, H. P. Stochastic orderings for discrete random variables. Statistics and Probability letters. (2008), 78, 2827-2835.

Published

HW

Giovagnoli, A, Marzialetti, J. and Wynn, H. P. A new approach to inter-rater agreement through stochastic orderings: the discrete case. Metrika. 67 (2008), 349-370.

Published

HW

Pronzato, L., Wynn, H. P. and Zhigljavsky, A. A. A dynamical system analysis of the optimal s-step gradient algorithm. In : Optimal Design and Related Areas in Statistics. Springer: Optimization and related areas: 28 (2009),39-80

Published

HW

Caines, P E., Deardon, R. and Wynn, H. P. Bayes nets of time series. Stochastic realisations and projections. In : Optimal Design and Related Areas in Statistics. Springer: Optimization and related areas: 28 (2009), 155-166.

Published

HW

Giovagnoli, A., Marzialetti, J. and Wynn, H. P. Bivariate dependence orderings for uncorrelated categorical variables. In : Optimal Design and Related Areas in Statistics. Springer: Optimization and related areas: 28 (2009), 81-96.

Published

HW

J.C.Rougier and D.M.H. Sexton (2007), Inference in Ensemble Experiments, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Series A, 365, 2133-2143

Published

JR

J.C. Rougier, S. Guillas, A. Maute, A.D. Richmond (2009), Expert Knowledge and Multivariate Emulation: The Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM), Technometrics, 51(4), 414-424. doi:10.1198/TECH.2009.07123

Published

JR

J.C. Rougier and M. Kern (2010), Predicting Snow Velocity in Large Chute Flows Under Different Environmental Conditions. Applied Statistics, forthcoming.

To appear

JCR

J.C. Rougier (2008) Formal Bayes Methods for Model Calibration with Uncertainty, in K. Beven and J. Hall (eds), Applied Uncertainty Analysis for Flood Risk Management, Imperial College Press / World Scientific (forthcoming)

Under review

JCR

J.C. Rougier (2008) Comment on "Inferring climate system properties using a computer model", Bayesian Analysis 3(1), 45-56

Published

JCR

Cumming, J.A. and Goldstein, M. (2009) "Small Sample Bayesian Designs for Complex High-Dimensional Models Based on Information Gained Using Fast Approximations", Technometrics, 51: 4, 377-388.

Published

JAC, MG

D.M. Ricciuto, R. Tonkonojenkov, N.M. Urban, R.D. Wilkinson, D. Matthews, K.J. Davis and K. Keller (2008) Assimilation of global carbon cycle observations into an Earth systme model to estimate uncertain terrestrial carbon cycle parameters. Submitted to Global Biogeochemical Cycles. Fulfills milestone 2.3.3

Published

RW

P.B. Holden, N.R. Edwards, K.I.C. Oliver, T.M. Lenton and R.D. Wilkinson (2009) A Probabilistic Calibration of Climate Sensitivity in GENIE-1. Climate Dynamics, published online 26th July 2009.

Published

RW

S. Guillas, J.C. Rougier, A. Maute, A.D. Richmond, and C.D. Linkletter (2009), Bayesian calibration of the Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM), Geoscientific Model Development, 2, 137-144.

Published

JCR

M. Crucifix and J.C. Rougier (2009), On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions: A Bayesian prediction of the next glacial inception. The European Physics Journal - Special Topics, 174(1), 11-31.

Published

JCR

Goldstein, M. and Rougier, J.C., (2009) Reified Bayesian modelling and inference for physical systems. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139, 1251-1256

Published

MG JCR

Oakley, J.E. (2009). Decision-theoretic sensitivity analysis for complex computer models. Technometrics 51, 121-129

Published

JEO

Maruri-Aguilar, H. & Trandafir, P.C. (2010) Sequential barycentric interpolation (accepted to Proceedings of mODa 9, in press)

To appear

HMA

Bates, R.A., Maruri-Aguilar, H., & Wynn, H. P. (2009) Smooth supersaturated models, MUCM technical report 08/01. arXiv:0809.4654 (submitted to Technometrics, in revision) 

Under revision

HMA, HW

Conti, S., Gosling, J.P., Oakley, J.E. and O'Hagan, A. (2009). Gaussian process emulation of dynamic computer codes. Biometrika 96, 663--676.

Published

AOH

Boukouvalas, A., Cornford, D., Singer, A., Managing Uncertainty in Complex Stochastic Models: Design and Emulation of a Rabies Model. 6th St.Petersburg Workshop on Simulation (2009) 1-3

Published

AB, DC

Boukouvalas, A., Gosling, J.P., Maruri-Aguilar, H. (2008). Efficient screening of linear effects for computer models. (Submitted to Reliability and Engineering Systems Safety: currently under revision)

Under review

AB, JPG, HMA

Sáenz-de-Cabezón, E., and Wynn, H. P. Betti numbers and minimal free resolutions for multi-state system reliability bounds. J.  Symb. Comp. (2009), 22, 1311-1325.

Published

HW

Bates, R.A, Maruri-Aguilar, H, Riccomagno, E.,  Schwabe, R, and H. P. Wynn. Self-avoiding generating sequences for Fourier lattice designs.In: Algebraic Methods in Statistics and Probability II. Contempoaray Mathematics: CONM/516. Eds: Marlos A.G. Viana, and Henry P. Wynn,  2010

Published

HMA, HW

Maruri-Aguilar, H., Wynn, H. (2010). D-optimality of Sobol' sequences for Haar wavelet models. (invited submission to a Design of Experiments special issue of the Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice (JSTP), under revision)

Under revision

HMA, HW

Fricker, T.E. (2010) Emulators for Multiple Output Computer Models, Submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy, Department of Probability & Statistics, School of Mathematics, University of Sheffield

Submitted Paper

TF

Goldstein, M. 2011. External Bayesian analysis for computer simulators. In BAYESIAN STATISTICS 9. Bernardo, J.M., Bayarri, M.J., Berger, J.O., Dawid, A.P., Heckerman, D., Smith, A.F.M. & West, M. Oxford University Press

Published

MG

I Vernon, M Goldstein and R G Bower (2010), "Galaxy Formation: A Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis", Bayesian Analysis 05(04): 619--670 (with discussion)

Published

IV, MG

Boukouvalas, A., Barillec R., Cornford, D., Direct Gaussian Process Quantile Regression using Expectation Propagation. Accepted to International Conference on Machine Learning (2012). Accepted Paper AB, RB, DC
Andrianakis, Y. & Challenor, P.G. (2012) The effect of the nugget on Gaussian process emulators of computer models, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Volume 56, Issue 12: 4215–4228 Published YA, PC
O'Hagan, A. (2012). Probabilistic uncertainty specification: Overview, elaboration techniques and their application to a mechanistic model of carbon flux. Environmental Modelling and Software 36, 35-48. Published AOH
Parameter estimation for Gaussian process emulators in Bayesian analysis Under revision YA, PC
Boukouvalas, A., Barillec, R. & Cornford, D. (2012) Direct Gaussian Process Quantile Regression using Expectation Propagation. ICML Edinburgh, Scotland Accepted Paper RB, AB, DC
 C. Caiado, R. Hobbs, M.Goldstein "Bayesian strategies to assess uncertainty in velocity models" (2012) Bayesian Analysis, 7, 211 - 234  Published MG
D. Williamson and M. Goldstein "Bayesian Policy Support for Adaptive Strategies using Computer Models for Complex Physical Systems" (2012) Journal of the Operational Research Society, to appear To appear MG
D. Williamson, M. Goldstein, A. Blaker "Fast Linked Analyses for Scenario based Hierarchies", (2012), the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C, to appear. To appear MG
A.W. Roberts, R.W. Hobbs, M. Goldstein, M.  Moorkamp, M. Jegen, B. Heincke "Crustal constraint through complete model space screening for diverse geophysical datasets facilitated by emulation" (2012), Tectonophysics, to appear To appear MG
M. Goldstein "Bayes Linear Analysis for Complex Physical Systems Modeled by Computer Simulators" (2012), in Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Computing, Dienstfrey, A and Boisvert R.F. ed, Springer. Published MG
M. Goldstein, A.H. Seheult, I. Vernon "Assessing Model Adequacy" (2012), in Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity,Wainwright, J. and Mulligan, M. eds, Wiley. Published MG IV
O'Hagan, A. (2012). Probabilistic uncertainty specification: Overview, elaboration techniques and their application to a mechanistic model of carbon flux. Environmental Modelling and Software 36, 35-48. Published AOH
Maruri-Aguilar, H and Wynn, H.P.  Smooth supersaturated models. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference Re-Submitted HW
Maruri-Aguillar, H and Wynn, H.P.  Alexander duality in the design of experiments.  submitted to Ann Inst. Stat. Math. Pending HW
Ko, J, Wynn. H.P. and Youssef, N.  The algebraic method for quadrature design for polynomial chaos. In Draft HW/NY
MUCM book Chapter. First draft completed. With HM, NY, AB First Draft Submitted HW/AB/NY
 Maruri-Aguillar, H and Wynn, H.P . The algebraic method  in experimental design  Handbook of Experimental design. First Draft Submitted HW
Bruynooghe, D and  Wynn, H. P. (2011). Differential cumulants, hierachical models and monomial ideals. arXiv:1102.2118v1 [math.ST] Under Revision HW
Bates, R. A., Atherton, M and Wynn, H. P. Dimensional Analysis using toric ideals. Journal of the Frnalin Institute. Submitted HW
Hainy, M.,  Müller, W. G. and Wynn, H.P. ABCD: Approximated Bayes Computation in Design.  10th International Conference Workshop on Model Oriented Data Analysis and Optimum Design To be submitted HW
Saenz-de-Cabezon, Eduardo; Wynn, Henry P. (2011). Computational algebraic algorithms for the reliability of generalized k-out-of-n and related systems . Mathematics and computers in Simulation ,  82,  68-78    Published HW
Sáenz-de-Cabezón, E and Wynn, H.P. (2012). Algebraic Reliability Based on Monomial Ideals: A Review. The Second CREST–SBM International Conference Osaka, Japan, 28 June – 2 July 2010 Ed T. Hibi, World Scientific.  Published HW
Maruri-Aguilar, H, Saenz-de-Cabezon, E. and Wynn, H. P. (2012) Betti numbers of polynomial hierarchical models for experimental designs . Annals of Mathematics and  Artificial Intelligence ,  64, 411-426 . Published HW